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Jan 16, 2013
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the dividend will account for a larger share of the stock's total economy. liz: so the stock actually went up in price? >> i think we are headed back towards the 50s. it is an important trend and i think we are trending towards 50% there. liz: it's like we've been slammed in hammer. it's now a $4.36 price here. we like maggie, she's a smart leader, but you can't -- you talk about the dividends? >> it's important to look at the company. in total it has to have appreciation potential. liz: why canada? >> they surpass the u.s. on the economic freedom index. they are ahead of us now. liz: what are the metrics for the economic freedom? >> is a whole monetary fiscal policy. liz: is a great for businesses? >> it is. they ought to be the fiscal model of the g7. if you look at corporate taxes, they are all trending in the right direction from a public standpoint. the country has a lot of natural resources. liz: but you don't want to become like australia. >> in terms of being a natural resource country, they do have a lot of natural resources companies, but they have
the dividend will account for a larger share of the stock's total economy. liz: so the stock actually went up in price? >> i think we are headed back towards the 50s. it is an important trend and i think we are trending towards 50% there. liz: it's like we've been slammed in hammer. it's now a $4.36 price here. we like maggie, she's a smart leader, but you can't -- you talk about the dividends? >> it's important to look at the company. in total it has to have appreciation potential....
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Jan 16, 2013
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the second-largest airline is said to be struggling with competition, high fuel prices and the german economy. australian vitamin and supplement maker swisse vitamins is crossing the pacific pond. the privately-held company will set up its north american headquarters in chicago and start selling its most popular products in walgreens stores starting february 1st. rite aid and target stores will start selling the products in april. the company's ceo says the products it sells will be manufactured in utah and florida. swisse vitamins is positioning itself as a premium product and intends to price its products 5-10% above competitors such as pfizer and bayer. the nation's largest retailer is reaching out to men and women in the service. wal-mart is offering a job to every veteran who honorably left the military in the past year. the program will continue for 5 years and is expected to provide work for more than 100,000 veterans. additionally, the retailer is committing to buying an additional $50 billion of u.s.- made products in the next 10 years. the government of japan joins the u.s. governme
the second-largest airline is said to be struggling with competition, high fuel prices and the german economy. australian vitamin and supplement maker swisse vitamins is crossing the pacific pond. the privately-held company will set up its north american headquarters in chicago and start selling its most popular products in walgreens stores starting february 1st. rite aid and target stores will start selling the products in april. the company's ceo says the products it sells will be...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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economy barely grew 1% in the fourth quarter. we have a situation where it could be sluggish in the first quarter. we're up five points on the s&p since december since we had qe3 and the fed indicating they would target unemployment. to us it feels like we're in the stratosphere. >> the market down 20%. isn't that recession you're talking about? >> you got to think there's a danger. doesn't have to be a recession. you have to think there's a danger. if you look at the dynamics, you look at the consumer confidence numbers which are beginning to roll a little bit, there is a danger that could take place and a lot will depend on the resolution. look at the vix and these low levels on this downward sloping trend line the pattern is very similar to april of 2011. i'm sure you all remember that the stock market held up a little bit longer and turned in may and then between may and august it dropped 22%. what was the biggest factor? the debt ceiling negotiations. >> tom the market really rolled over in the spring of 2011 because trichet
economy barely grew 1% in the fourth quarter. we have a situation where it could be sluggish in the first quarter. we're up five points on the s&p since december since we had qe3 and the fed indicating they would target unemployment. to us it feels like we're in the stratosphere. >> the market down 20%. isn't that recession you're talking about? >> you got to think there's a danger. doesn't have to be a recession. you have to think there's a danger. if you look at the dynamics,...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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grow the economy by bringing in some certainty to it. if he wants to fight hard for tax rate increases, he ought to be fighting just as hard for spending cuts. >> you know, governor, he made an interesting point during his news conference this week where he said if -- if this debate is just about reducing the fiscal deficit, he's on board and let's get it done, but he suspects that there are a lot of conservative republicans out there for whom this debate is about the bigger picture of the role the federal government plays in americans' lives, and he said that's not a debate he wants to have. he doesn't want to be cutting entitlement programs just because conservatives want to reduce the role of government in americans' lives. is it possible we're having two simultaneous debates at once here? >> well, he's got to reconcile the differences. almost like saying i know i'm overweight but don't ask me to go on a diet. i mean, there's got to be efficiencies found in the federal government. the fact that we're cutting spending doesn't mean that
grow the economy by bringing in some certainty to it. if he wants to fight hard for tax rate increases, he ought to be fighting just as hard for spending cuts. >> you know, governor, he made an interesting point during his news conference this week where he said if -- if this debate is just about reducing the fiscal deficit, he's on board and let's get it done, but he suspects that there are a lot of conservative republicans out there for whom this debate is about the bigger picture of...
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Jan 16, 2013
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the chinese economy is obviously a major and inner ene ener -- f iron ore. it looks that the fundamentals are in place for an aussie breakout. >> give us your levels, todd. >> sure. the australian dollar, technically speaking, is facing a breakout, 1.06. this is a range that's been in place for almost a year and a half. so, 1.06 is the entrillion on a weekly break. you want to take profit up around 110. >> all right, todd, thank you for that. todd gordon of aspen. and more money in motion every friday, 5:30 p.m. eastern time. tim, in terms of the iron ore, we saw big spikes in the price in fourth quarter in china. >> yeah, how about a vej mite sandwich, too? you have big chinese data coming out, but iron ore, goldman has that note out. watch that chart. >> let's play a little good, bad and ugly and tonight -- stars dan nay tan. first up, dan said to keep an eye on yahoo!. take a listen. >> the mighty goldman sachs reinitiated the stock with a buy of $22, 12-month price target. they say the sum of the parts is much greater. i actually agree. implied volatilit
the chinese economy is obviously a major and inner ene ener -- f iron ore. it looks that the fundamentals are in place for an aussie breakout. >> give us your levels, todd. >> sure. the australian dollar, technically speaking, is facing a breakout, 1.06. this is a range that's been in place for almost a year and a half. so, 1.06 is the entrillion on a weekly break. you want to take profit up around 110. >> all right, todd, thank you for that. todd gordon of aspen. and more...
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Jan 16, 2013
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. >>> we are moments away from the fed's latest read on the economy. here is how the markets are doing. right now the dow lost its strength, down 23 point on the trading session. s&p is dead in the water all hour and nasdaq is actually up about 10 points on the trading session, ty? >> sue w, watch this story in algeria. that does it for "power lunch." thanks for joining us today. >> and "street signs" begins now with breaking news on the fed and economy. >> that's right, sue and tyler. we have boeing in crisis. we have housing on the mend and five-star stock picks. we've also got the very latest on a scary story in algeria where militants say they have taken 41 people hostage, include something americans, at a bp oil field. well get to that in a moment but let us get to breaking news for the fed and how they are performing and get to steve liesman. steve? >> the federal reserve district says economic growth is modest to moderate in all 12 districts. that's how we normally lead but that's not the most important. what is important is the talk about how f
. >>> we are moments away from the fed's latest read on the economy. here is how the markets are doing. right now the dow lost its strength, down 23 point on the trading session. s&p is dead in the water all hour and nasdaq is actually up about 10 points on the trading session, ty? >> sue w, watch this story in algeria. that does it for "power lunch." thanks for joining us today. >> and "street signs" begins now with breaking news on the fed and...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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chances are the economy is going to get better. wouldn't that make you want to buy stocks right now. >> it does. we're not -- we're actually a little bit more bullish, esespecially the first six months of the year. we still are expecting slow growth, commodities where we're shorting assets, but in terms of u.s. and in terms of international, we do expect growth, and we are excited about what's happening, but later on in the year i think it's going to be another story. >> what do you mean by that, later on in the year? what's going to be the upset later on in the year? >> there's a lot more issues coming out in terms of europe later in the year. right now it's all about -- it's all about expectations of positive growth that we have in the u.s., but, you know, we still have issues, and investors have got to focus on -- we've got an incredible spending problem. there's still problems in europe so we don't really believe that this year is going to be like last year, but we do expect small positive returns though. >> rick santelli, i wa
chances are the economy is going to get better. wouldn't that make you want to buy stocks right now. >> it does. we're not -- we're actually a little bit more bullish, esespecially the first six months of the year. we still are expecting slow growth, commodities where we're shorting assets, but in terms of u.s. and in terms of international, we do expect growth, and we are excited about what's happening, but later on in the year i think it's going to be another story. >> what do you...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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don't forget how large that economy is relative to the world economies so i think the market has nothing but not green shoots but blossoming flowers. go buy it. >> so why then, doc, are you still more cautious than the other guys? >> partly because, judge, i like owning options instead of owning equities. i just do. the only times i like owning equities are like for instance when joe and i fight about stocks with nice yield. i mean whether it's a verizon or whether it is intel, if i'm talking about a 4% dividend yielder that i can get in there and write options against it as well and take it to double digits on the return i like that. but i don't like buying apple. i don't like buying a lot of the stocks that don't have the yield, judge, that are attractive to me. instead, i trade the options. >> speaking of verizon i'm glad you mentioned it. next week is a bonanza earnings week. there are so many important companies reporting next week that that is going to decide where this market goes. don't you think? >> yes. the expectations in terms of what the potential growth for eps and the pote
don't forget how large that economy is relative to the world economies so i think the market has nothing but not green shoots but blossoming flowers. go buy it. >> so why then, doc, are you still more cautious than the other guys? >> partly because, judge, i like owning options instead of owning equities. i just do. the only times i like owning equities are like for instance when joe and i fight about stocks with nice yield. i mean whether it's a verizon or whether it is intel, if...
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Jan 16, 2013
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if you believe the economy is stable which we do. i still think the high yield market will generate couponed return this year. maybe a touch better. quite frankly we'd love to see spreads widen out a little bit. we've had quite a rally at the beginning of the year, actually toward the end of last year into the beginning of the year. we'd love to see it back up a bit to create better value in the high yield market. i still think it's going to be a good year especially if we believe equities are going to have a solid performance. >> enis? >> enis taner. you mentioned global markets the yields coming down. what do you think about emerging market bonds? i know you've mentioned you like them. but the yield differential between developed markets and emerging markets is certainly compressed in the last year. >> yeah, yeah. enis, the story is everything compressing in the last year. it is -- searching out opportunity becomes the upside is limited given where spreads have gone to. we do think, though, that there are still -- you're seeing in
if you believe the economy is stable which we do. i still think the high yield market will generate couponed return this year. maybe a touch better. quite frankly we'd love to see spreads widen out a little bit. we've had quite a rally at the beginning of the year, actually toward the end of last year into the beginning of the year. we'd love to see it back up a bit to create better value in the high yield market. i still think it's going to be a good year especially if we believe equities are...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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so there are ways that we can do it, but to say that we're not -- we're going to jeopardize the economy of the united states and frankly even the world by not paying the bills that have already been incurred is absolutely -- [talking over to each other] david: you were willing to bring us to that brink in 02, 04, and 06. >> no i wasn't. david: you voted in favor of keeping the debt limit ceiling right where it was, that was the same kind of danger in going over into that default mode, no? >> it wasn't because that was a kind of protest vote knowing very full well that this was going to pass. are we seriously going to not let president bush pay for the debts that had been incurred? i absolutely would have voted in favor of raising the debt ceiling. david: final question about spending because i'm getting a wrap here. >> sure. david: we had in 2008 we had spending level of about 3 trillion dollars. in 2009 that ballooned up about 20% to about 3 1/2 trillion dollars. now, a lot of that was because of the stimulus program, which was part bush and part president obama. but then we remained a
so there are ways that we can do it, but to say that we're not -- we're going to jeopardize the economy of the united states and frankly even the world by not paying the bills that have already been incurred is absolutely -- [talking over to each other] david: you were willing to bring us to that brink in 02, 04, and 06. >> no i wasn't. david: you voted in favor of keeping the debt limit ceiling right where it was, that was the same kind of danger in going over into that default mode, no?...
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Jan 16, 2013
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the economy will be picking up. housing likely to get in on it. >> maybe we're actually breaking -- maybe the valuations aren't -- >> based on what? >> come on, under wells fargo? >> michael dell, and suddenly, mr. skeptic -- >> overheated debt market, that's always a good sign for an economy. that's always a sign that things are getting a lot better. >> it's been getting overheated since 1979. >> big lbos. that worked out real well. no, i'm just -- there's housing, sales of pickups. sales of cars in europe for 2012, not so good. we'll talk about that. >> germany, the bmw sales, volkswagen sales. one of my cousins in mexico is near a bmw, new plant. the germans are down. they're buying like crazy. germany business, good. rest of the continent okay. ford cutting back very dramatically. >> boeing, more problems related to the dreamliner. japanese grounded their 787 for safety checks. the national transportation safety board, faa are going to japan to assess that incident. when the first problems arose last week, week
the economy will be picking up. housing likely to get in on it. >> maybe we're actually breaking -- maybe the valuations aren't -- >> based on what? >> come on, under wells fargo? >> michael dell, and suddenly, mr. skeptic -- >> overheated debt market, that's always a good sign for an economy. that's always a sign that things are getting a lot better. >> it's been getting overheated since 1979. >> big lbos. that worked out real well. no, i'm just --...
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Jan 16, 2013
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what do you think that tells us on where we are in the economy? >> look at numbers of the last week or two, retail production numbers for december, and they were actually pretty good. of course, the employment numbers we already know were soiled, and this is in a period where the uncertainty over the fiscal cliff was reaching a maximum. you know, maria, you think that's pretty encouraging that the economy has managed to cope with a high level of uncertainty. now the thing that kind of bothers me though is i'm a little bit worried that this coping is flipping over to complacency. the vix is now at a six-year low, and it tells me that the market is discounting 100% probability that we get through the debt ceiling without any trouble. that seems too high to me. >> so do you think the market is expecting that? i mean, when would you expect a big change in terms of the interest rate scenario? >> in terms of the interest rate scenario, probably nothing this year. i mean, we're at least a couple years away from a higher move -- a move higher in interest
what do you think that tells us on where we are in the economy? >> look at numbers of the last week or two, retail production numbers for december, and they were actually pretty good. of course, the employment numbers we already know were soiled, and this is in a period where the uncertainty over the fiscal cliff was reaching a maximum. you know, maria, you think that's pretty encouraging that the economy has managed to cope with a high level of uncertainty. now the thing that kind of...
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Jan 16, 2013
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economy. we'll see their economy return to growth. and you can't ultimately pay down debt until you've got economic growth. >> and just to get a little specific, what trades do you like then given the scenario that you're laying out? >> i think generally -- i think the story about europe is a global one because it's been the biggest drag on global growth. we've had a global confidence cries us that has prevented all of this cash -- if you look at u.s. companies, there's $2 trillion of cash -- >> trades, trades, pierce, trades. >> equities primarily. >> okay. >> and then you can pick. i think it's still going to be a macro move. you say trade, you want me to talk about sectors or geographic locations, fine. i think generally equities will go higher. peripheral europe will still outperform as will china. i like china particularly because it's undervalued. i think they're going to benefit from the european story. >> we'll talk about what needs to happen in the bond markets, as well. >> yes. >> in
economy. we'll see their economy return to growth. and you can't ultimately pay down debt until you've got economic growth. >> and just to get a little specific, what trades do you like then given the scenario that you're laying out? >> i think generally -- i think the story about europe is a global one because it's been the biggest drag on global growth. we've had a global confidence cries us that has prevented all of this cash -- if you look at u.s. companies, there's $2 trillion...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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debt as well as the global economy. according to rex macy it is. he thinks there's a good chance that risk fears will rise and, therefore, the market will pull back. will that be the moment for investors to get in. good to see you, gentlemen. thanks so much for joining us. what are you expecting in terms of this market 2013? >> sure. well, right now we're at 1472 on the s&p. we think it's going to go marginally higher from here, but it's not going to be a smooth ride. we've got a vix at 13 and change. that's too low. that's where the complacency comes from. you see it there. as we move into the debt ceiling debate, it can be far harder to solve than the taxes, we think the market can be down for a while, and before it comes back up. >> so you're looking for a decline, and perhaps that is an entry point for some. do you agree with that? >> i think any decline is an opportunity to buy, maria. i'm very, very bullish on u.s. equities and one of the main reasons i am the u.s. energy story which i think is a story that's not being told as well as it shou
debt as well as the global economy. according to rex macy it is. he thinks there's a good chance that risk fears will rise and, therefore, the market will pull back. will that be the moment for investors to get in. good to see you, gentlemen. thanks so much for joining us. what are you expecting in terms of this market 2013? >> sure. well, right now we're at 1472 on the s&p. we think it's going to go marginally higher from here, but it's not going to be a smooth ride. we've got a vix...
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Jan 16, 2013
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economy. european economy. are they going to continue this, and guidance, digging down a little bit deeper into the 2013 story will be really key what the stock price does tomorrow. david: sandy, you have a little bit to add here on ebay, go ahead. >> the fact they beat four straight quarters and here they are with results pretty much right in line with analyst estimates might be the disappointment factor that is weighing in on the shares right now. after this beat we are slightly lower in after-hours trading. paypal was obviously very strong. i do want to point out that the stock has been rallying in anticipation of these numbers coming out point out. first couple weeks of the year, the stock is up 5%. there has been a lot of optimism and a lot of buying into this report. maybe a bit of selling on the news here. liz: sandra, shibani, thank you very much. we're watching ebay as well as gun control as the story develops. peter barnes is very latest on the president's announcement and comments on the issue. we'll
economy. european economy. are they going to continue this, and guidance, digging down a little bit deeper into the 2013 story will be really key what the stock price does tomorrow. david: sandy, you have a little bit to add here on ebay, go ahead. >> the fact they beat four straight quarters and here they are with results pretty much right in line with analyst estimates might be the disappointment factor that is weighing in on the shares right now. after this beat we are slightly lower...
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Jan 17, 2013
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. >> for the economy? i think we have to divorce the economy from the market. >> have we been price thatting that out? >> we have to be clear that markets are totally different from the economy. for the markets, we're looking at 2% scenario. scenario a would be similar to 2012 where i think actually the economy doesn't do that well. the first half is difficult. second half is a bit better. we've still got the fed printing 5 billion a month. we could see a rerun of 2012. maybe mid to single high digit returns. >> did you get exposure of citi to bofa here? >> we wouldn't be. we're taking a little bit of money off the table or indeed i think we did. the level of implied volatility makes perfect sense here. >> we'll leave it here for now. thanks very much. over to you, ross. >> kelly, thanks for that. so we are just about an hour and 20 minutes into the trading day here in europe. you can see advancers just about outpace decliners by a ratio of 6 to 4 and we're up near the high point of the session which has d
. >> for the economy? i think we have to divorce the economy from the market. >> have we been price thatting that out? >> we have to be clear that markets are totally different from the economy. for the markets, we're looking at 2% scenario. scenario a would be similar to 2012 where i think actually the economy doesn't do that well. the first half is difficult. second half is a bit better. we've still got the fed printing 5 billion a month. we could see a rerun of 2012. maybe...
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Jan 17, 2013
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the economy is morrow less back on track. we think there would be more proactive fiscal policies to come action but most of those announcements will come likely in march. >> the new government has made several nods towards urbanization, so we've seen material stocks go higher. investors like to think of china in the growth sector. is that where you see some of the best opportunities at this point? >> we do see a lot of those sectors did run up after the urbanization push and all of the news media coverage around it. we see more details on the exact urbanization probably in march or april, but at this point i think there's numerous ways to go. the obvious interpretation is more infrastructure investment, but other than the, premier to be has been very focused on the social safety net issues as well, saying he needs to migrate more people into the urban areas. you need to provide better health care and better social housing, so don'tunder estimate what we might see. >> another long-term issue is basic manufacturing is starting
the economy is morrow less back on track. we think there would be more proactive fiscal policies to come action but most of those announcements will come likely in march. >> the new government has made several nods towards urbanization, so we've seen material stocks go higher. investors like to think of china in the growth sector. is that where you see some of the best opportunities at this point? >> we do see a lot of those sectors did run up after the urbanization push and all of...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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we will let you know what he's saying about our economy and the future fed action. as we know that can be market moving. this event could move the markets tomorrow. david: that's a live picture coming out of michigan. we will be going right back there. also the news of apple cutting down orders for iphone parts is driving the stock way down again today. we have an apple analyst who cut his price target by 150 bucks back in december. does he think it's also time for the company to cut their ceo tim cook? sandra: shares of dell soaring on talk of a buyout. more on both tech stories coming up. keep it right here. ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] this is karen anjeremiah. they don't know it yet, but they' gonna fall in love, get married, have a couple of kids, [ children laughing ] move to the country, and live a long, happy life together where they almost never fight about money. [ dog barks ] because right after they get married, they'll find some retirement people who are paid on salary, not commission. they'll get straightforrd guidance and be able to focus on other thing
we will let you know what he's saying about our economy and the future fed action. as we know that can be market moving. this event could move the markets tomorrow. david: that's a live picture coming out of michigan. we will be going right back there. also the news of apple cutting down orders for iphone parts is driving the stock way down again today. we have an apple analyst who cut his price target by 150 bucks back in december. does he think it's also time for the company to cut their ceo...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. >> reporter: republicans called the president hypocritical for saying he will not negotiate over the debt limit while blasting republicans for refusing to negotiate. and they fired back that the debate over the debt ceiling was the perfect time to consider legislation to cut spending. at the same time, only a handful of republicans have actually said they'd let the united states default on its bills. >> the president claims this, but republicans have always raised the debt ceiling. we've never seen the debt limit fail to be raised. all they have said is we want to apply the same criteria that the president himself applied when he was a senator and say we don't want to give the president a blank check. we would like to fix the substantive problem which is the level and the growth in the debt. >> reporter: markets are almost trea
. >> they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. >> reporter: republicans called the president hypocritical for saying he will not negotiate over the debt limit while blasting republicans for refusing to negotiate. and they fired back that the debate over the debt ceiling was the perfect...
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Jan 19, 2013
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is the world's largest economy, the u.s. dollar is a global reserve currency. housing continues to pick up, unemployment is going down, american corporations are the world's largest and they're sitting on lots of cash, which, you know, sort of quixotically it's precisely that strength that allows washington to continue to be so incredibly dysfunctional. yeah, i'm feeling pretty bad over whae's coming out of capitol hill in the next few months but it's not medication that leads me to believe america is stable. >> even washington may not be able to mess up what's going on. christine romans, we've been talking about the consequences of not having a budget, a serious plan to deal with debt and deficits. but a number of prominent democrats point out the debt problem isn't that much of a problem. money is basically free many america and republicans should stop obsessing about it. >> a new narrative and they're getting bolder with it. the debate is the way liberals and conservatives see the world. those on the left have no problem with the government taking a larger r
is the world's largest economy, the u.s. dollar is a global reserve currency. housing continues to pick up, unemployment is going down, american corporations are the world's largest and they're sitting on lots of cash, which, you know, sort of quixotically it's precisely that strength that allows washington to continue to be so incredibly dysfunctional. yeah, i'm feeling pretty bad over whae's coming out of capitol hill in the next few months but it's not medication that leads me to believe...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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the economy according to ben bernanke - what the fed chair has to say about the state of the country's finances. and, how automakers are setting a new pace for competition. plus, traders who are sweet and sour on apple. first business starts now. you're watching first business: financial news, analysis, and today's investment ideas. good morning. i'm angela miles. it's tuesday, january 15th. in today's first look: as facebook makes its big reveal on its new product today, shares briefly climbed above $32 yesterday. bloomberg news reports dell is in talks to end its trading days and go private. federal regulators order jp morgan chase to improve its risk management after losing billions in trading last year. and american airlines bond holders meet today to weigh in on whether the airline should merge with u.s. airways. ira epstein of the linn group joins us now. always a pleasure to have you on the show. what is going on with the market? it is so resilient. where is all this money coming from ira? > > think about it: 2012, the end of the year, we didn't know where we were in taxes, peop
the economy according to ben bernanke - what the fed chair has to say about the state of the country's finances. and, how automakers are setting a new pace for competition. plus, traders who are sweet and sour on apple. first business starts now. you're watching first business: financial news, analysis, and today's investment ideas. good morning. i'm angela miles. it's tuesday, january 15th. in today's first look: as facebook makes its big reveal on its new product today, shares briefly climbed...
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a lot of the conditions in the economy are slow. it spending is to the really that great. so i don't know if the estimates are that achievable. i also think that yeah, better risk/reward in other sectors in the market. we're trying to advise our clients how to outperform the s&p. i think there is better opportuniy. within tech there are some things we like where recommending suck stocks for example. i think that is one economically sensitive area that the stocks haven't participated that much in the rally. >> susie: let's talk about the areas that have been telling your clients, morgan stanley clients which direction to go. you have three big themes for your clients. buy stocks with from american companies with exposure to china, positive on china. buy dividend paying stocks and you like very large stocks, what you call megastocks. why are these the themes for you? >> well, look, for china i think we identified late last fall that the u.s. companies with china exposure had really lagged the broader market and had gotten quite cheap. and the china economy started to stabili
a lot of the conditions in the economy are slow. it spending is to the really that great. so i don't know if the estimates are that achievable. i also think that yeah, better risk/reward in other sectors in the market. we're trying to advise our clients how to outperform the s&p. i think there is better opportuniy. within tech there are some things we like where recommending suck stocks for example. i think that is one economically sensitive area that the stocks haven't participated that...
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i bet that this is one of these moments where the world economies are going to be better. i say that because it is the same batehavior i've seen over d over and over again. they are days to buy, not sell. in order to get into this bull market, here is the bottom line, i think this market is simply taking a snooze after a big bull run. but wakes itself up perhaps with my clock and if history serves me right, they go higher not lower and it is turned out that their evaluations ended up being catalysts galore. bob in florida, bob >> it is fwrat to tais great to. south florida by way of teaneck, new jersey. i'm calling about krispy kreme donuts. i sold it and forgot about it and now it seems like they reinvented themselves. the stock is up 70% since mid november and still trading. even talk about take over. >> i believe there is a turn going on. it has been ages since i looked at it. the last time i looked at it i chipped my tooth. i will do more work on it and see where this one can stop. nobody does know. robert in massachusetts, robert. >> booyah jim, hail from massachusett
i bet that this is one of these moments where the world economies are going to be better. i say that because it is the same batehavior i've seen over d over and over again. they are days to buy, not sell. in order to get into this bull market, here is the bottom line, i think this market is simply taking a snooze after a big bull run. but wakes itself up perhaps with my clock and if history serves me right, they go higher not lower and it is turned out that their evaluations ended up being...
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Jan 16, 2013
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the overall economy is now in focus. you and many other investors were bearish for most of 2012, now you're looking at consumer names like staples. where did staples come from in your mind? >> the data really supports, in my opinion, getting bullish now. i was bullish for most of 2012. i have been bullish for most of the time, but definitely second half of 2012 until the economic data, whether it was housing, whether it was consumption and even the labor market. i am not saying things are going gangbusters, but it is okay and makes us think what would happen if we didn't have to worry about all the drama in washington, d.c.? after marching something will be resolved one way or another, and we will be out of drama for a little while. i want to see how the economy picks up then. you asked about staples. cheryl: down 17%. and you are buying it? >> yes. it has been beaten down for number of valid reasons. a labor market that was punkish for a while. the lows in europe. this is 3.7% dividend yield, buying back shares, we like
the overall economy is now in focus. you and many other investors were bearish for most of 2012, now you're looking at consumer names like staples. where did staples come from in your mind? >> the data really supports, in my opinion, getting bullish now. i was bullish for most of 2012. i have been bullish for most of the time, but definitely second half of 2012 until the economic data, whether it was housing, whether it was consumption and even the labor market. i am not saying things are...
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to get the economy growing faster. >> would you be one? >> unlike the congress, the fed has done quite a lot and there isn't very much more the fed could do. i would certainly be with chairman bernanke. i was happy when they switched over, which is likely to have a bigger impact on the economy. the other thing i've been urging on the fed but they're not doing it is cut the interest rates by holding idle excess reserves in the hope that some of that will go into the economy. >> we have to leave it there, but thank you very much for your thoughts today. let's bring in don peebles of the peebles corporate. don, great to have you on the set today. >> good to be here. >> how does it play out? >> in the end it's a lot of drama about a profungtsry performance. the government needs to stand behind its credit. that's one of the benefits as a government, we get low rates because our credit is good. it's a shame we're spejd all this time. we spent much more than we take in. and we can't continue do that. we even done what we're going to do on the tax
to get the economy growing faster. >> would you be one? >> unlike the congress, the fed has done quite a lot and there isn't very much more the fed could do. i would certainly be with chairman bernanke. i was happy when they switched over, which is likely to have a bigger impact on the economy. the other thing i've been urging on the fed but they're not doing it is cut the interest rates by holding idle excess reserves in the hope that some of that will go into the economy. >>...
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Jan 14, 2013
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it would be a self-inflicted wound on the economy. it would slow down our growth, might tip us into recession, and ironically, would probably increase our deficit. so even entertain the idea of this happening, of the united states of america not paying its bills, is irresponsible. it's absurd. as the speaker said two years ago, it would be, and i'm quoting, speaker boehner now, a finance ral disaster not only for us but for the worldwide economy. so we've got to pay our bills. and republicans in congress have two choices here. they can act responsibly and pay america's bills, or they can act irresponsibly and put america through another economic crisis. but they will not collect a ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well-being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. and they better choose quickly because time is running short. the last time republicans in congress even flirted with this idea our aaa credit
it would be a self-inflicted wound on the economy. it would slow down our growth, might tip us into recession, and ironically, would probably increase our deficit. so even entertain the idea of this happening, of the united states of america not paying its bills, is irresponsible. it's absurd. as the speaker said two years ago, it would be, and i'm quoting, speaker boehner now, a finance ral disaster not only for us but for the worldwide economy. so we've got to pay our bills. and republicans...
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Jan 15, 2013
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the tailwind for housing recovery will provide for the banking sector for consumer confidence for our economy in general. we have to see financials do well kicking off tomorrow. david: we're going to talk the market just tomorrow about this, but is there any kind of move we could see a selloff springtime when a lot of people are saving their cash? >> that is so well advertised. everybody whereby short-term correction and to that point maybe people talking about the next of the 1425, the next resistance, going up to far too fast, but so well advertised. everybody knows what they are. still seems to be higher. everybody is thinking we will see a correction and that is probably why we will not see one. david: thank you very much. we will see you in a couple of minutes when the market closes. hang on for that. liz: let's bring in our panel for the market. let me begin with you. you are pretty bearish, but to say you're bearish is unfair to the viewers because the market is such a huge living, breathing creature. where are you most concerned and what do you like that doesn't scare you? >> we like
the tailwind for housing recovery will provide for the banking sector for consumer confidence for our economy in general. we have to see financials do well kicking off tomorrow. david: we're going to talk the market just tomorrow about this, but is there any kind of move we could see a selloff springtime when a lot of people are saving their cash? >> that is so well advertised. everybody whereby short-term correction and to that point maybe people talking about the next of the 1425, the...
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Jan 16, 2013
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we'll get an indication of where the economy is going and where it's been. volatility, people also watching apple k. it regain $500, that's been, you know, a lot of chatter here and there. and then on the equities side, 1471.25 on s&p futures the high back a few days ago. if we could break through the level, you will see increased fund flows, more money coming to the market to the long side. and it seems like, you know, i'm really -- surprised because the debt ceiling concern and talks, it's been pretty much nonexistent on the industrial -- >> the markets at fresh five-year highs. >> yeah. it's all because we had the fiscal cliff. and it was so volatile coming into it. we saw some massive swings and massive breakdowns coming into it. it seemed like the market was all over the place. with the debt ceiling, everyone thinks they'll kick the can, raise the debt ceiling up, or get resolved within -- >> that mean the market's at risk? it would seem yes, right? >> see, if you -- my opinion of what will happen is if there's any small breakdown in it, you know, if th
we'll get an indication of where the economy is going and where it's been. volatility, people also watching apple k. it regain $500, that's been, you know, a lot of chatter here and there. and then on the equities side, 1471.25 on s&p futures the high back a few days ago. if we could break through the level, you will see increased fund flows, more money coming to the market to the long side. and it seems like, you know, i'm really -- surprised because the debt ceiling concern and talks,...
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Jan 15, 2013
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if they do this, what happens to the economy, the stock market? >> well, i would think that financial markets have had enough warning of a possible downgrade of the u.s. aaa credit rating by an agency other than s&p, and thus perhaps it would not have that damaging impact. the downgrade was not especially g. that being said there will be a negative psychological shock that will temporarily send share prices sharply lower, but provided that policymakers in washington could reassure markets that washington is going to do more to stabilize the budget. maybe that -- gerri: it makes into the pipe. they did it -- did not to say there are going to downgraded if we did not like the debt ceiling prices go away. they also said the current outlook is likely to be resolved even if another debt ceiling crisis is averted. they want to see spending cut. now, do you think that the markets would go to town if there was some big deal on spending? >> i think if substantial progress was made at kirby expenditures over time so that this threat of a data rate could be
if they do this, what happens to the economy, the stock market? >> well, i would think that financial markets have had enough warning of a possible downgrade of the u.s. aaa credit rating by an agency other than s&p, and thus perhaps it would not have that damaging impact. the downgrade was not especially g. that being said there will be a negative psychological shock that will temporarily send share prices sharply lower, but provided that policymakers in washington could reassure...
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the fed is spending 6% more m-2 every year and that's helping the economy. but the real driver of growth is technology. it's the entrepreneur. it's the innovator. it's the creator. we have the cloud, the spark phone, attacking all of these great new technologies and that's what i try to draw investors' focus on. let's not pay so much attention to what government is doing. let's look at what is causing growth underneath, what has always caused growth and that's entrepreneurial activity, innovation, and activity. we have a lot of it going on right now. >> finally, brian, housing is turning into a pretty nice tail wind here. i wonder, though, you see the ten-year at 285. >> right. >> how much can the market withstand if the 30-year mortgage continues to tick up? >> when we go back to the early 1990s when housing was pretty strong, interest rates were a lot higher than they were today. i think the fed is artificially holding rates down. we could have the federal funds rate at 2, 2 1/2 without any harm to the economy. we could take the ten-year treasury up to 3,
the fed is spending 6% more m-2 every year and that's helping the economy. but the real driver of growth is technology. it's the entrepreneur. it's the innovator. it's the creator. we have the cloud, the spark phone, attacking all of these great new technologies and that's what i try to draw investors' focus on. let's not pay so much attention to what government is doing. let's look at what is causing growth underneath, what has always caused growth and that's entrepreneurial activity,...
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Jan 15, 2013
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melissa: is good for the economy, good for jobs, what is your main message? >> fracking has never polluted water sources. at least the head of the epa, she said that twice to congress, not a single piece of scientific evidence to show the fracking -- melissa: because there is no evidence, people have not been out there looking at it, have not been focused long enough. just trying to be the devil's advocate. >> fracking has been going on in america since 1947. there is a big test pool. we would have known about it by now. every step to fracking it is scientific reports. this is one place where the science is settled. fracking has been going on since 1947. melissa: do you think you'll be able to reach enough people out there o where does the name of matt damon reach more people? >> it has zerasked nominations, a very interesting phenomenon. we will be on tv and that is great, every american, most americans will have a chance to see it. on access to january 22, 9:00 p.m. eastern. melissa: you have to get your plug-in. thank you for coming on. time for today's fu
melissa: is good for the economy, good for jobs, what is your main message? >> fracking has never polluted water sources. at least the head of the epa, she said that twice to congress, not a single piece of scientific evidence to show the fracking -- melissa: because there is no evidence, people have not been out there looking at it, have not been focused long enough. just trying to be the devil's advocate. >> fracking has been going on in america since 1947. there is a big test...
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the companies that moved so aggressively overseas stopped being dragged down by our sluggish economy. the move is in its infancy. they were left for dead in 2012 and are roaring back to life. i think they will gain steam as the wrangling in washington goes on for the rest of the year and beyond. fred in ohio, fred? >> caller: yes, jim. boo-yah. this is fred from ohio. it's a pleasure to talk to you. >> we loved ohio when we went out there last year to see massillon play some other ohio team. we were in that town. >> caller: i've been watching you from day one. >> thank you. >> caller: i want to know what do you expect from pepsi on the first quarter earnings and china and the association with burger king and marketing. what do you think of the first quarter earnings? >> i think the ceo is going to deliver a really, really good quarter. i think that stock -- its emphasis on emerging markets, it's going to do a great job. i would own pepsico going into the quarter. dino in california, dino? >> caller: jimmy. >> yo-yo. >> caller: happy new year. >> happy new year. >> caller: by the way,
the companies that moved so aggressively overseas stopped being dragged down by our sluggish economy. the move is in its infancy. they were left for dead in 2012 and are roaring back to life. i think they will gain steam as the wrangling in washington goes on for the rest of the year and beyond. fred in ohio, fred? >> caller: yes, jim. boo-yah. this is fred from ohio. it's a pleasure to talk to you. >> we loved ohio when we went out there last year to see massillon play some other...
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Jan 14, 2013
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rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. with investment information, risks, fees and expenses we replaced people with a machine.r, what? customers didn't like it. so why do banks do it? hello? hello?! if your bank doesn't let you talk to a real person 24/7, you need an ally. hello? ally bank. your money needs an ally. it's the musical melissa: can you ever have too many snakes? we told you about the first ever python challenge in the everglades. offering prizes to whoever snags the most snakes. as well as two bags the biggest. so for hundreds of people have shown up to get in on the action including fox news down there with a machete. look at that. you look very scary. and imposing. >> this is the recommended tool to take out. guns and machetes. after three d
rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. with investment information, risks, fees and expenses we replaced people with a machine.r, what? customers didn't like it. so why do banks do it? hello?...
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economy. so guess what? the stock market is up as the consensus earnings estimate has come down. and so the bear aurchlt lacks an intellectual continuity where they were right on the earnings estimates come down, but they've goes to explain. so you think the as specs further identity are improving as we got past the tax cliff. we're going to get past the spending clip in an ugly way. you have to depend on washington, d.c. to give you some banana republic action before we get to the middle of 2013. but in the middle of 2013, we'll know what all of the rules are. and i think the capital spending orders are going to come back and reinforce the housing improvement that you described as well as a pretty good auto market. >> we are talking all day today because everybody got their paycheck and it is definitely smaller. it's always smaller t beginning of the year. but is there any way that there is a headwind from people just not having as much money? >> yes, there's a headwind for the economy and we
economy. so guess what? the stock market is up as the consensus earnings estimate has come down. and so the bear aurchlt lacks an intellectual continuity where they were right on the earnings estimates come down, but they've goes to explain. so you think the as specs further identity are improving as we got past the tax cliff. we're going to get past the spending clip in an ugly way. you have to depend on washington, d.c. to give you some banana republic action before we get to the middle of...
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Jan 15, 2013
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you know, the economy, you know, two steps forward, one step back, and corporate america can't carry the water. it will be difficult for the market, and priced pretty much to perfection at the current level with popular averages, not leaving room for disappointment. liz: hate one step forward, two back -- >> no, the other way. liz: either way, not moving fast. is that at a decent clip? >> actually, that's something we talked about last week on the show, and what we're looking at, again, south africa, right now, the mining situation is getting worse and worse, and -- liz: labor issues? >> the strikes, strikes, labor issues, and a threat that some of the major companies are shutting down the mines until they resolve this. we'll have a shortage in these areas, and, also, seeing platinum taking a bit of a piggy back ride up. it's at the 1680s mirroring where gold is now. silver is joining along for the ride. we're seeing a lot happening with the precious metals. liz: platinum is higher than gold for the first time in ten months. do you care? is that significant? it's 1682 against 1680, t
you know, the economy, you know, two steps forward, one step back, and corporate america can't carry the water. it will be difficult for the market, and priced pretty much to perfection at the current level with popular averages, not leaving room for disappointment. liz: hate one step forward, two back -- >> no, the other way. liz: either way, not moving fast. is that at a decent clip? >> actually, that's something we talked about last week on the show, and what we're looking at,...
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Jan 18, 2013
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the economy revving up in the fourth quarter. phil flynn of price futures group is in the trading pits of the cme for us. >> the most exciting thing that i heard today was that api report. yes, the man did that to the lowest level in over 16 years. production, the highest level since before the civil war, consider that. up 16%. that is an incredible number. it is really changing the global energy market. there will still be some risk factors going into the weekend. we are a little bit concerned. right now, prices are staying pretty steady. there are a lot of market ahead of this three-day holiday weekend. melissa: i am surprised that that kind of data does not have an impact on price. >> partly, it is because of the economics. the dollar viewpoint. demand growth in the future. the other issue is that what we will see is the global marketplace, as well, starting to get out into the global marketplace. it will drive up the cost of wti. really, you have to look at this bread. you know, we will see falling prices in europe. lower pro
the economy revving up in the fourth quarter. phil flynn of price futures group is in the trading pits of the cme for us. >> the most exciting thing that i heard today was that api report. yes, the man did that to the lowest level in over 16 years. production, the highest level since before the civil war, consider that. up 16%. that is an incredible number. it is really changing the global energy market. there will still be some risk factors going into the weekend. we are a little bit...
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the economy moving. and we're basically in that situation right now. all the productive capacity is there. all that's lacking is the intellectual clarity and the political will. >> you make this so clear in the book, that's why i recommended that president obama read this book as the one book i would like to see him read before the inauguration next week. if he read it, what would you hope he would fasten on? >> i would hope that he would fasten on the notion, you know, he faces real political constraint. so we understand, he can't just pass legislation. but that the most important thing, his policy priority right now should be doing whatever he can to at least move in the direction of the kinds of policies that we want for full employment, that we need for full employment. and that the obsessions of washington about a grand bargain on the deficit are really pretty much beside the point right now. that, if given a choice between doing something that will help the economy in the next two years, and someth
the economy moving. and we're basically in that situation right now. all the productive capacity is there. all that's lacking is the intellectual clarity and the political will. >> you make this so clear in the book, that's why i recommended that president obama read this book as the one book i would like to see him read before the inauguration next week. if he read it, what would you hope he would fasten on? >> i would hope that he would fasten on the notion, you know, he faces...
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Jan 19, 2013
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sad world we live in, but people have to realize, these type of things have a negative impact on the economy. the senate that we can beat this debt the better it's going to be for everybody. gerri: last word. tell me, are drones enough to take care of this problem? >> the bottom line, but we have to learn is that we cannot afford billiard. terrorists love a vacuum, and wherever it develops kamal to leave, to pose a threat to the united states. next year it could be afghanistan. we have to be on guard. gerri: thank you for coming on. great job. you guys really explained it all. thank you. >> thanks. gerri: if you're fired up about this or any of the issues, a drop me an e-mail. >> coming up on "the willis report," unemployment is higher. could it be because he has gone awful year without meeting with his jobs council? we tackle this and more house republicans finally unveil their new debt ceiling deal. we examine the good combat command ugly with americans for tax reform president grover norquist later. one ohio teacher said she has a crippling fear of being children, but is still being force
sad world we live in, but people have to realize, these type of things have a negative impact on the economy. the senate that we can beat this debt the better it's going to be for everybody. gerri: last word. tell me, are drones enough to take care of this problem? >> the bottom line, but we have to learn is that we cannot afford billiard. terrorists love a vacuum, and wherever it develops kamal to leave, to pose a threat to the united states. next year it could be afghanistan. we have to...
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Jan 18, 2013
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state and local level consumes one-third more of the economy in california and texas. said one-third of the nation beaufort one negative 11 negative welfare recipients are in california all there 1/8 of the population. everything. john: a percentage of households receiving public assistance is much higher in california and lower than average in texas. that means that you start the pork people. >> 42% lower cost of living in texas and california. u.s. census bureau has been criticized over 20 years for not taking into account the cost of living that different states with housing and food and clothing. john: there was the old poverty rate measure were texas lost 16 percent of the people in california were in poverty, of 17 percent in texas but now it includes the cost of living. >> and government benefits. with this new measure would week after the election news see the state with the highest poverty rate in the nation is california even higher than the district of columbia. that should be a warning to progressives who maintain the big government model is the path of to
state and local level consumes one-third more of the economy in california and texas. said one-third of the nation beaufort one negative 11 negative welfare recipients are in california all there 1/8 of the population. everything. john: a percentage of households receiving public assistance is much higher in california and lower than average in texas. that means that you start the pork people. >> 42% lower cost of living in texas and california. u.s. census bureau has been criticized over...
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Jan 18, 2013
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rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. [ male announcer ] how do you turn an entrepreneur's dream... ♪ into a scooter that talks to the cloud? ♪ or turn 30-million artifacts... ♪ into a high-tech masterpiece? ♪ whatever your business challenge, dell has the technology and services to help you solve it. ♪ gerri: republicans go for a short-term increase in the debt ceiling, but how can we tackle our long-term problems? grover norquist year in 60 seconds. ♪ ♪ gerri: retreating or regrouping? house republicans putting to a vote raising the debt ceiling for three months, but are they backing off of their demands for spending cuts in exchange for raising the debt limit? with more on this, grover norquist, president for americans for tax reform. great
rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. [ male announcer ] how do you turn an entrepreneur's dream... ♪ into a scooter that talks to the cloud? ♪ or turn 30-million artifacts... ♪ into a...
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Jan 15, 2013
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raising taxes grows the economy or -- >> no, it does not grow the economy. we have to be serious how much the president contributed to overall debt picture. $6 trillion since he came to office. nearly $20,000 per united states citizen has been added since president obama came into office. so just silly to argue he hasn't contributed. melissa: blame game gets us nowhere because everybody contributed to it. god it is a mess and we have to fix it. when you hear people like nancy pelosi saying the fiscal cliff was not enough on the revenue side. you hear, you know, many politicians chiming in. howard dean, for example, saying in december that the truth is everybody needs to pay more taxes. we're not going to get out of this deficit problem unless we raise taxes across the board. the rich can't solve the problem. i guess that is where i'm going with this is, it seems like, especially from what you're saying susan, everyone will have to pay more taxes to get out of this. >> i actually don't agree with that point. i don't agree with howard dean either. we're not lo
raising taxes grows the economy or -- >> no, it does not grow the economy. we have to be serious how much the president contributed to overall debt picture. $6 trillion since he came to office. nearly $20,000 per united states citizen has been added since president obama came into office. so just silly to argue he hasn't contributed. melissa: blame game gets us nowhere because everybody contributed to it. god it is a mess and we have to fix it. when you hear people like nancy pelosi...
178
178
Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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CNBC
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economy hostage. here's the president. >> they will not collect a r ransra ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. and they'd better choose quickly because time is running short. >> and house speaker john boehner responded quickly saying the house republican majority will do the responsible thing. will make sure the nation meets its obligations, will keep the government running. that's trying to take that specter of the government shutdown off the table. we've got a real confrontation brewing because the president says i'm going to break the habit of crisis-driven fiscal negotiations. and if he succeeds in that, somebody's going to have to break. we're going to find out pretty soon. because the debt ceiling could be hit in as little as one month from now. >> it's interesting that we still haven't had any ideas, though, on spen
economy hostage. here's the president. >> they will not collect a r ransra ransom in exchange for not crashing the american economy. the financial well being of the american people is not leverage to be used. the full faith and credit of the united states of america is not a bargaining chip. and they'd better choose quickly because time is running short. >> and house speaker john boehner responded quickly saying the house republican majority will do the responsible thing. will make...
91
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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the two things that came out today were that to drags on the economy, housing and employment. they are getting better and consistently better. the confidence will be there. here is the big fear. we have a climate of worry. we are at a plateau because the next is what is going on in washington d.c. that scares me more than anything have seen in this market in years. liz: i no d.c. is an issue. it is something we cannot control, sadly enough, but we can serve to control whether we are jumping into this market. people are still sitting on the sidelines holding their worries, missing rallies like this. >> that only cause more confusion because we are not really breaking out on explosive volume, which is also another concern. with the breakup like this you want to see volume ramp up, which would indicate to you that people really have a change of mindset. at 400 million shares, you are not really breaking out yet. some people -- liz: composite track. that would be the highest. let me get to the energy complex. everything is higher right now, jonathan. is this all the very tense and
the two things that came out today were that to drags on the economy, housing and employment. they are getting better and consistently better. the confidence will be there. here is the big fear. we have a climate of worry. we are at a plateau because the next is what is going on in washington d.c. that scares me more than anything have seen in this market in years. liz: i no d.c. is an issue. it is something we cannot control, sadly enough, but we can serve to control whether we are jumping...